Rain, flooding possible on the Gulf Coast today

national weather service

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL

557 AM CST SUN FEB MS- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…SOUTHWEST ALABAMA…NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE…TODAY AND TONIGHT A WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE GULF COAST TODAY COMBINES WITH DEEPER GULF MOISTURE AND PASSING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES…SUPPORTING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS.

SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BE EFFICIENT HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCERS. LATEST OBSERVATIONS ALONG WITH FORECASTS TODAY…SUGGEST THE HEAVIER RAINS WILL BE CONFINED ALONG THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA NEAR THE WARM FRONT. LOCALIZED FLOODING OF POORLY DRAINED AND LOWER LYING AREAS ARE LIKELY IN THOSE AREAS THAT SEE STORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREAS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND SMALL HAIL ALSO POSSIBLE IN ANY OF THE STRONGER STORM CLUSTERS.

THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW AND MAY OCCUR ON AN ISOLATED BASIS. CONSIDERING THE RAINFALL THAT OCCURS TODAY…PATCHY TO AREAS OF FOG FORMATION IS FORECAST TONIGHT.

VISIBILITY LIKELY TO LOWER TO LESS THAN A MILE IN ANY OVERNIGHT DENSE FOG. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN…MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE ON WEDNESDAY BRINGS THE POTENTIAL OF FREEZING LOW TEMPERATURES THURSDAY MORNING OVER THE INTERIOR.

BY THE CLOSE OF THE WEEK…A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SWINGING EAST ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER DELTA MAY BRING THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY. THIS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE LOW TRACK…PLACEMENT OF THE STRONGER LOW LEVEL WINDS AND INSTABILITY AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE.

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